MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5187f7d899516c624293f5b23f36633b3e563e330e9788fc8ff93c5258206c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 59c | 41,369$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,869.12 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 16,945$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.12 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 8,127$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 5,500$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.98 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 54c | 5,298$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.04 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 3,800$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.6 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 45c | 3,660$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.02 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 54c | 2,967$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 45c | 2,638$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 2,440$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.69 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 2,412$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.33 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 55c | 1,375$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.25 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 1,275$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.59 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 43c | 1,107$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.87 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.2 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 42c | 1,048$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 42c | 845.95$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.3 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 44c | 719.92$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 32c | 713.52$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 652.04$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 636.73$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.27 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Under | 44c | 578.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 554$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 56c | 552.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 56c | 550$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 543.18$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 535.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 54c | 523.2$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Under | 45c | 450.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 44c | 348.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 55c | 275$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 246.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 67c | 230$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 42c | 203.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 46c | 195.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 46c | 184.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 181.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 45c | 159.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 143.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 48c | 140.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 134.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 29c | 117.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 114.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4e98backed Over | 60c | 113.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Under | 48c | 112.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +931.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 111.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 54c | 110.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 69c | 87.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 85.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 61c | 81.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 54c | 79.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Over | 25c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 37c | 77.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 55c | 54.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 46c | 51.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 45c | 50.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 59c | 41.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 56c | 38.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 59c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…c34cbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Over | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 55c | 29.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 49c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 38c | 27.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 53c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 54c | 26.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 43c | 26.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…fb95backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Under | 74c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 45c | 25.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.