TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bba…49ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+931.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$50.43
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$58.62
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$77.45
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+11,966%+$5,401.4
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$32.18
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+15,470.5%+$7,735.23
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.14
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$38.68
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$281.26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.61
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$151.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertensbacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.94
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Zhuoxuan Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$480.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Koprivabacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$12.67
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$12.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.79
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Manresabacked Manresa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.