TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Knicks51c38,982$19,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,101.4120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks51c30,090$15,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,705.5564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked 76ers49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70014538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Knicks51c28,000$14,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,719.9725248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers49c26,437$12,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,954.191,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed 76ers49c23,086$11,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3125655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks51c17,196$8,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,425.9960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks51c14,589$7,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,198.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers49c9,356$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 76ers47c8,831$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.7820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked 76ers50c8,500$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks52c7,753$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,721.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers18c7,752$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers16c5,835$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers48c5,835$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.571,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f91…00e7backed 76ers50c4,995$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked 76ers49c4,087$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.7314842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed 76ers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed 76ers49c4,041$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed 76ers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.7847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed 76ers49c3,385$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.5418749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks62c3,249$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.2442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers49c3,230$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.8916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed 76ers49c3,198$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56730452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked 76ers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers49c2,895$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40918343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers49c2,813$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4879…86c0backed 76ers50c2,642$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.089246.7%43 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers49c2,372$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.2816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks51c2,354$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.451,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers49c2,302$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Knicks52c2,217$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.244264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked 76ers49c2,024$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.955940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.7995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Knicks53c1,898$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.916050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed 76ers19c1,570$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed 76ers50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.9621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Knicks52c1,383$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.6632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks51c1,341$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Knicks71c1,237$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.794452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks52c1,143$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.9730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed 76ers4c1,106$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed 76ers48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6812542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed 76ers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed 76ers49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.618333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Knicks52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9820744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks51c999.92$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.391,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed 76ers48c999.91$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.961520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Knicks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.399655.2%53 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Knicks51c979.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9914640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee5…83d6backed Knicks52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.542646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Knicks51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.314348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks50c611.1$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Knicks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Knicks51c565.2$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.451,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed 76ers12c540.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks51c527.94$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks52c525.19$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.091,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed 76ers49c519.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7947651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks51c499.97$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Knicks51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.234661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers9c478$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.331,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed 76ers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Knicks51c405.96$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.928655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6225850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…db97backed 76ers35c350$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248534.1%29 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked 76ers49c319.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf484…0e02backed 76ers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Knicks51c305.01$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.454465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Knicks51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14712851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Knicks52c298.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4214854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked 76ers51c296.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Knicks51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked 76ers49c261.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12811743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Knicks51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.94035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed 76ers49c248.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12221164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks51c248.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Knicks52c241.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Knicks50c239.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2213949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5b…a4d9backed Knicks52c217.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.316358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8537…b98bbacked Knicks51c217.02$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.347556%42 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed 76ers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked 76ers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.