TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,262 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ce9…61e5backed 76ers52c1,117$582 inLost-$582825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked 76ers48c473.61$226 inLost-$225.783455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Knicks48c473.09$228 inWon+$245.523756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers18c403.11$72 inLost-$71.531,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks49c402.52$197 inWon+$205.262,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks51c393.35$201 inWon+$192.7418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Knicks54c371.48$200 inWon+$171.485040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed 76ers48c345.31$166 inLost-$165.7517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked 76ers47c339.62$160 inLost-$159.6250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Knicks53c311.32$165 inWon+$146.3236248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed 76ers49c244.9$120 inLost-$1209552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Knicks70c200.13$140 inWon+$60.065343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Knicks52c112.69$59 inWon+$54.0942740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked 76ers33c60.97$20 inLost-$2016725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked 76ers20c60$12 inLost-$123339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks53c59.98$32 inWon+$28.191,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks66c56.97$38 inWon+$19.361,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Knicks52c50.19$26 inWon+$24.0910746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Knicks52c50.19$26 inWon+$24.098843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Knicks69c43.48$30 inWon+$13.485750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Knicks54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.049548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Knicks52c32.62$17 inWon+$15.6636247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9999…0654backed Knicks53c28.3$15 inWon+$13.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks51c27.27$14 inWon+$13.3587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Knicks46c21.51$10 inWon+$11.515058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.