NBA · resolved market
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 15.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2cd2149d6fda84c29597c2466437d25c28c81b18aaa864e0952914ba00e7603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 55c | 3,611$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 2,111$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.49 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 41c | 1,429$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.32 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 50c | 506.09$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 48c | 457.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 49c | 404.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68b…92bcbacked Yes | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Yes | 50c | 198.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 46c | 101.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…cedbbacked Yes | 49c | 80.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e217backed Yes | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…3be1backed Yes | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…8e00backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 51c | 35.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 52c | 32.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed No | 53c | 31.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…1945backed Yes | 48c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed No | 43c | 28.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked No | 55c | 19.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 15.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 3.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.