NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12554f0ce11a2087e8be2d786f6ffe9fe9072308ff6e4b97c216bf71f97e50e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Under | 1c | 7,034$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 3,886$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.46 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Under | 56c | 2,832$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.02 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Under | 4c | 2,503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Under | 8c | 1,809$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 1,711$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 55c | 1,667$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.57 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 1,646$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under | 4c | 750.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 54c | 590.75$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.79 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 406.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.29 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 55c | 334.05$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.73 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 79c | 304.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Under | 43c | 213.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…d472backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…0654backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…9a38backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under | 56c | 88.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Under | 18c | 68.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 55c | 68.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 60.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…aa46backed Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 44c | 44.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 33.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +11.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…0697backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 3.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.