TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,949,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,569,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,949,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers48c233,720$112,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,185.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed 76ers47c220,000$103,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,399.8411137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers47c215,000$101,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,05017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed 76ers47c207,612$98,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,368.7824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks53c183,588$97,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,286.5336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers46c173,072$80,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,230.0116841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks61c159,469$96,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,820.4385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked 76ers46c125,909$58,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,113.4914538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c121,041$65,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,785.5164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ac2…be3dbacked Knicks53c115,359$61,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,209.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Knicks53c100,000$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,00020545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks53c81,384$42,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,650.431,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers21c71,555$14,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,924.9566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Knicks53c65,000$34,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,679.0134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…bc23backed Knicks53c58,264$30,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,384.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks55c55,471$30,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,697.0418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Knicks53c55,000$29,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,8505350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed 76ers47c50,000$23,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,277.693839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked 76ers47c47,351$22,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,154.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked 76ers49c40,816$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0005036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks57c38,273$21,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,448.5969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed 76ers3c36,717$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.3722036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Knicks62c33,069$20,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,625.1617441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed 76ers47c32,239$15,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,126.325151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…3eacbacked 76ers48c32,222$15,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,466.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers47c31,301$14,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,711.541,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked 76ers46c29,969$13,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,785.788148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Knicks53c29,000$15,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6305379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked 76ers2c28,426$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.623259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks62c28,387$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,886.9420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Knicks54c27,196$14,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,509.945848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Knicks72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed 76ers42c25,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9910248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Knicks53c24,000$12,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,279.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks53c23,000$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,70089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Knicks72c20,833$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.333644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 76ers46c20,669$9,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,507.756945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers4c20,169$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.561,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked 76ers13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks75c16,913$12,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa1…e126backed Knicks54c16,667$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,666.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed 76ers40c16,154$6,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,393.0113534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Knicks54c16,100$8,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40613544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers12c15,030$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.931,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Knicks51c14,500$7,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,10512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed 76ers17c13,133$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.283330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed 76ers7c13,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92022039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed 76ers2c12,228$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.97614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers28c12,002$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.9663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,64038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked 76ers48c11,458$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed 76ers7c10,974$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.0918931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers0c10,550$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.755502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338c…bef7backed 76ers7c10,490$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75214626.7%39 W · 107 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Knicks73c10,476$7,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.956457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed 76ers48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5c…f0dbbacked Knicks53c10,101$5,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,747.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Knicks53c10,050$5,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.6737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Knicks52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x046f…0828backed Knicks52c10,000$5,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,798.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed 76ers46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9613642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.8859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks52c9,784$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,696.551,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed 76ers46c9,358$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.9932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers12c8,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2c…f694backed 76ers5c8,477$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.421723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks52c7,884$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 76ers18c7,745$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.662144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Knicks53c7,455$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.8520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Knicks54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.417353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…732cbacked 76ers16c7,286$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.841225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks52c7,271$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed 76ers4c7,039$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3212313%16 W · 107 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed 76ers47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.9921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers47c6,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.9243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks53c5,645$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.735650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed 76ers18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks68c5,493$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.6993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Knicks73c5,467$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.854573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers0c5,395$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.748783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Knicks77c5,163$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.242450%12 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked 76ers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked 76ers24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked 76ers48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed 76ers2c4,895$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed 76ers48c4,846$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.8412058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2de…ef3abacked Knicks54c4,568$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed 76ers46c4,427$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.336628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed 76ers5c4,305$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.753030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed 76ers14c4,181$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.343729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…4b28backed 76ers48c4,100$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers47c4,061$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.8986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0de…674dbacked 76ers48c4,036$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 76ers34c4,025$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.5440243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers47c4,010$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.7365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked 76ers48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92014055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.