TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c15,246$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.041,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c6,218$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.8864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over57c4,898$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.2814556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Over53c4,192$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.457452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under48c3,942$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.921625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.3316555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c3,146$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.3565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,033$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c2,811$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.4755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under8c2,324$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c1,792$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under2c1,615$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,359$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under47c1,159$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c988.71$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over55c911.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.444332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c673.99$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.111,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over52c621.15$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.153275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c555.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.47643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c549.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over54c535.39$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2810149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c521.74$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.811,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c499.7$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under44c454.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Over54c450.07$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.032860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under9c340.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c315.71$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under43c276.61$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over52c271.85$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.498850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under48c245.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c227.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.851,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4227549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa836…753fbacked Over56c203.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8812434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c199.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over80c158.08$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.088952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7127945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2325360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c135.61$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.451,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c129.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.351,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over55c127.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6812149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over56c119.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7126345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9586…de67backed Under49c111.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under44c100.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0610746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under44c100.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.062025%5 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3854…862dbacked Over52c94.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.376055%33 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under26c90.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f9…aa7abacked Over54c90.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.744100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.727950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Under48c85.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Over56c65.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.73669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211136%40 W · 71 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over51c58.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under47c55.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9410847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef51…263fbacked Under49c50.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2239548.4%191 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over67c49.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0623741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Over57c49.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1241654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Under44c48.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6410761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over75c45.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.129061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe57a…824abacked Over54c42.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over51c40.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under49c39.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over52c38.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x631e…0379backed Over54c36.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc734…6cf9backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbeaf…6774backed Over52c34.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c30.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.323865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…29b9backed Over53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c23.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over51c22.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.984468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over64c21.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Over57c20.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.715056%28 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Over61c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.13237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.