TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb5f…39c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.89
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.62
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.57
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$69.8
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$84.71
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.48
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.38
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$132.34
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$80.46
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$50.56
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.6
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.32
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.97
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$99.21
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,081.68
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$216.49
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$157.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$196.88
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$385.67
1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+118.7%+$423.83
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$186.02
1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$191.58
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$85.03
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$143.51
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$151.67
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$993.36
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$49.3
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$81.75
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70.73
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70.75
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$265.75
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$375.12
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$375
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+118.2%+$753.7
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$141.99
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$353.99
Spread: Packers (-5.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$362.3
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$156.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$465.35
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.47
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.57
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$135.17
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.38
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$111.11
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.81
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$252.43
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.69
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.22
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$106.54
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$352.55
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.74
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.39
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.76
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$68.36
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.36
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.14
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$130.01
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$82.41
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$159.61
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.08
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.97
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+107%+$147.09
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$786.27
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.33
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$54.45
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$81.03
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.02
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.76
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.79
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+205.8%+$142.42
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.81
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$212.24
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.42
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$81.17
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.66
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$972.01
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.95
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$134.12
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.19
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.97
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-5.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.16
North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.16
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$164.73
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$241.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$382.52
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.5%+$254.8
South Florida Bulls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$159.43
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$189.92
Colorado Buffaloes vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+391.4%+$58.71
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.63
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$179.6
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$186.34
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$216.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$356.41
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.76
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.72
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$477.79
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$161.37
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$79.92
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Boston College vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$97.79
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.5%+$57.19
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rutgers vs. Ohio Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$40.26
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.86
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.41
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156%+$121.38
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.81
Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$657.23
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122.68
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$297.86
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$47.1
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.8%+$104.68
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$49.35
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Women's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$132.92
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$72.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+334.8%+$334.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.