Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f8df7430cf34f238033836719517e3a0d51bd8b44d7614c4b414b8b5f38fe8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 27c | 2,127$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.21 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,467$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 734.72$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 703.96$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Yes | 33c | 526.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 24c | 419.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 23c | 416.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 405$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 331.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 26c | 301.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 128.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 25c | 80.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 25c | 77.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…d4f0backed Yes | 26c | 75.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…ac67backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 72c | 63.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 30c | 47.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 69c | 37.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 76c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.