Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ac8c287a07e970ad6aa6fb490ceb9ae71696dc350e9d875ac2ce99c6b2ca75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 50,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 20,714$13,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 6,351$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 68c | 5,993$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.86 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 71c | 3,356$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.56 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.75 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 59c | 985.13$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.75 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 789.77$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 762.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed No | 75c | 669.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed No | 72c | 520.72$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 30c | 475.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 18c | 456.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 29c | 349.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 41c | 349.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 324$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 28c | 288.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 67c | 240.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 223$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked No | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 59c | 183.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…5adcbacked No | 73c | 175.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…66b0backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 29c | 122$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 26c | 80.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 27c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 29c | 76.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…7d67backed Yes | 73c | 70.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed No | 74c | 66.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 72c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 28c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 24c | 40.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 37.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 37.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 65c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 72c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…79d5backed Yes | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 68c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.