TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,25031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No51c22,170$11,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.1621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Yes50c10,056$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No50c8,477$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.631,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c7,107$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.462,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c5,899$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.686,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes51c4,007$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.055048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes51c3,392$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.952060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No49c2,847$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.8546651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff3…fe30backed Yes50c1,996$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Yes16c1,700$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c1,322$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.194,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes28c1,088$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No79c1,038$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.791,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802425%6 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes49c999.6$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.375743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No52c957.18$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6915049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c796.12$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.691,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No52c699.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c564.13$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.681,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes47c531.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0342048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes48c497.92$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2393542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No61c497.6$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes50c460$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.214943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c410$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.171,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No51c393.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.058552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes45c392.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17528531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c6f…b31bbacked Yes40c369.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.63812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac74…f0eebacked Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes17c347.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No51c326.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.281,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x499a…7d67backed Yes49c323.61$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No49c289.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0224349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No51c275.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.897829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes39c263.06$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes43c218.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes51c192.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9111446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No53c189.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3812748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No59c177.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes35c171.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes44c167$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes43c157.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.652254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c2…56a8backed Yes17c154.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes49c150.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9436845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fc…d087backed Yes40c143.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes50c142.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.012540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes36c138$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.685448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes49c128.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.849231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes50c126$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c109$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed0…4f26backed Yes49c102.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f59…04cdbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes44c90.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed No53c90.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.941435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581c…4d7ebacked Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6974backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c9…9ec4backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.415452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes49c76.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.391560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16532.3%21 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No53c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes50c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes51c63.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.65339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.820840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da8…6913backed Yes18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes51c51.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2629735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed No51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.011735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed No53c47.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.395450%27 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.