TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cdd…11be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST4337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80.33
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$35.64
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$42.35
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+48.3%+$85.93
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$62.35
UFC Fight Night: Pat vs. Frye Jr. (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Frye Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. Bleda (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bleda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$40.2
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.8
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$63.9
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.6%+$59.56
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33.16
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.28
UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19
UFC 323: Aslan vs. Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Aslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
UFC 323: Naimov vs. Santos (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Naimov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.88
Will Volkan Oezdemir win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$118.8
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$48
Will Jack Hermansson win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.21
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.17
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$33.19
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.27
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3)backed FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$28.01
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+333.3%+$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40.4
Will FC København win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$145.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+203%+$201
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$94.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$93.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.