UFC · resolved market
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1f8d1ef3f81042a19c3c85c45f92e34883e69be098fb2956dd0fadb8edf8cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ziamof Ziam, Sadykhov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd123…d341backed Sadykhov | 36c | 46,055$16,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,579.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Sadykhov | 40c | 42,183$16,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,873.16 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Ziam | 61c | 39,668$24,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ziam | 64c | 31,950$20,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,501.9 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sadykhov | 37c | 28,302$10,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,371.29 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ziam | 63c | 27,667$17,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,249.97 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ziam | 60c | 26,425$15,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,689.77 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Sadykhov | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Sadykhov | 40c | 11,115$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sadykhov | 35c | 10,960$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.01 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…7258backed Ziam | 66c | 10,580$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ziam | 65c | 10,111$6,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.4 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ziam | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sadykhov | 36c | 9,906$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.66 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sadykhov | 34c | 9,512$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Sadykhov | 34c | 9,368$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.45 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Sadykhov | 37c | 8,300$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.97 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Ziam | 64c | 7,817$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.17 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Ziam | 66c | 7,273$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.73 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Ziam | 64c | 7,000$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ziam | 61c | 6,920$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.95 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Sadykhov | 39c | 6,759$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.01 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ziam | 63c | 6,675$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.92 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ziam | 61c | 6,226$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.64 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Sadykhov | 44c | 6,179$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.7 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Ziam | 65c | 5,849$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Ziam | 65c | 5,585$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Ziam | 65c | 5,379$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Ziam | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…8540backed Ziam | 65c | 3,997$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sadykhov | 39c | 3,653$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.84 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sadykhov | 38c | 3,396$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Ziam | 63c | 3,334$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Ziam | 66c | 3,042$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Ziam | 65c | 2,478$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.24 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Sadykhov | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…c7eebacked Ziam | 56c | 2,196$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Sadykhov | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…9f0dbacked Sadykhov | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Ziam | 65c | 1,920$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…650abacked Sadykhov | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fd7ebacked Sadykhov | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Ziam | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ziam | 62c | 1,612$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.89 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Ziam | 66c | 1,525$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Sadykhov | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Sadykhov | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Sadykhov | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sadykhov | 46c | 1,327$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.19 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ziam | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Ziam | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…8ef9backed Ziam | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…d888backed Sadykhov | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ziam | 66c | 1,197$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Sadykhov | 36c | 1,165$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.66 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…7c30backed Sadykhov | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…1f46backed Ziam | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ac…c2d9backed Sadykhov | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…5918backed Ziam | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Sadykhov | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Sadykhov | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Ziam | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…3115backed Sadykhov | 35c | 1,064$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Ziam | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Sadykhov | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Sadykhov | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Ziam | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Sadykhov | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…2aa7backed Sadykhov | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…3072backed Ziam | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Sadykhov | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Sadykhov | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Ziam | 65c | 999.99$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sadykhov | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sadykhov | 35c | 999.68$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.82 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a8…72bcbacked Ziam | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…28bbbacked Ziam | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…0dd4backed Ziam | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…ac5dbacked Ziam | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Sadykhov | 32c | 811.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.01 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sadykhov | 27c | 807.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sadykhov | 34c | 776.95$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Ziam | 59c | 773$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Sadykhov | 33c | 766$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Ziam | 56c | 747$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Sadykhov | 44c | 704.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…dd70backed Ziam | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…18a6backed Ziam | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Sadykhov | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Ziam | 72c | 664$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Ziam | 65c | 630.77$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…7805backed Ziam | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…498dbacked Ziam | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Sadykhov | 29c | 598.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Sadykhov | 42c | 595.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Sadykhov | 19c | 594.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sadykhov | 36c | 520$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Ziam | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sadykhov | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Sadykhov | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Farés Ziam win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Nazim Sadykhov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.