Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83400524f5f7fd08776273c6ec692a71f0a6efad9f8da7568b76fbe6e589525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Yes | 35c | 14,794$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,615.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 7,595$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 3,910$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,921$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 2,600$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 65c | 1,903$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,585$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,560$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.58 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 1,216$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 16c | 1,029$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.13 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 69c | 907.03$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.64 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 65c | 520$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 459.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 458.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 377.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.89 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 369.23$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 32c | 170.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked Yes | 25c | 140.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 59c | 99.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 95.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 65c | 74.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 72.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 65c | 60.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 33c | 55.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…8b4abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 66c | 40.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 66c | 39.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 65c | 31.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 56c | 20.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.