TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No64c68,824$43,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,734.0311848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes38c25,000$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,50010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c14,409$5,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,012.3527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No62c12,600$7,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,811.84658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No65c12,470$8,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,105.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c7,478$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.742,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No40c6,641$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.7112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes79c5,218$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.782157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes36c4,248$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.582650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.994443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c2,902$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.1848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No63c2,600$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.999149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.112950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes23c2,500$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9253351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes76c2,102$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Yes37c1,973$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…4cc0backed Yes34c1,922$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes41c1,817$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.2110451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Yes38c1,625$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c1,597$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.1896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes30c1,594$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.88457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No61c1,358$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Yes74c1,356$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3562969%20 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c1,354$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes41c1,332$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.584845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.795563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7931573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes35c1,232$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.715446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes40c1,225$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.312454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes26c1,160$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes65c1,139$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3944…6470backed Yes38c1,102$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes66c1,017$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.694623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x185c…9fedbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+264.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes31c999$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6893046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c984.58$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.781,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c982.48$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.9145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes31c969.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.379154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes68c956.13$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9622237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes27c932.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+98.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes38c900$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes38c782.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.672343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c768.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes36c717.67$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.318334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes36c677.78$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes63c667.22$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c647.37$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.3733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No62c571.73$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.36437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes38c568.89$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No42c564.26$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes36c557.36$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.562441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.326050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf667…3463backed Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes30c498.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.961450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes30c496.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.035740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No62c484$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.083164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Yes21c452.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes80c427$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1823244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.545100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No63c418.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.964351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes79c410.62$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9320033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No62c399.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24713040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No63c379.77$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes45c370.27$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.271040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No62c333.58$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes26c325$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.53016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes31c309.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked No32c309.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e96…8e0fbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes27c272.96$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.261520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a24…328abacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No29c267.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7513639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.167568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.168041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes31c259.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes38c231.87$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.762254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes39c230.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.777564%48 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes79c225.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No61c218.62$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes35c214.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.599846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1488229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.