TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c3,619$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.522,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes29c3,333$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes7c3,323$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c3,169$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.1527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes17c2,427$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6712050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c2,299$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c2,096$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9914249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes23c1,968$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No77c1,892$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.117444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No70c1,700$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes26c1,168$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No70c1,111$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.298463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c1,109$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.729149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed No70c1,030$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3091030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes2c888$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7624238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes18c638$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.844524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c557.28$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed No71c492.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.962138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No78c418.94$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.075369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes8c378.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c361.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes30c361.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes28c352.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6517543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1113752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No71c331.55$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed No71c323.94$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.942142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked No71c322.25$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed No71c318.31$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed No71c318.31$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked No71c316.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed No71c307.04$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed No71c307.04$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed No71c307.04$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2170%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed No71c298.59$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.592441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5992…40bfbacked Yes15c239.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8450…b5a9backed No71c223.77$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes23c175.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c172$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.36731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes29c159.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.89440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792b…c855backed Yes11c147.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes28c141.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.584355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0a…85e3backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8915357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes31c130.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.363318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes13c125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.064717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes30c115.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c104.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7427226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No70c101$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x546d…b6f4backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6738…13eebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No79c89.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4213639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…5883backed Yes18c87.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes30c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.58754%47 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes30c82.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+203.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.753773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c74.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0732150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8793…9c83backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76d7…5adcbacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…a73abacked No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e1…5323backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x092c…06b4backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes30c66.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No71c65.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes27c64.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3312033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes27c60.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c59.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.196331.7%20 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.088456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa958…c06cbacked Yes31c55.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8314255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…19c2backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141b…4c41backed Yes24c46.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x446c…d61fbacked Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd2…350cbacked No70c38.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No70c36.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0723353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick63cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb100…439dbacked No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No72c25.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.