Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a273cbee115b10fa544170b549d87e72455709256a5692d3c2def92ad35bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 65c | 12,470$8,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 6,920$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.16 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 6,591$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 35c | 5,143$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 52c | 2,103$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.24 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 46c | 2,017$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.13 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,980$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.83 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 67c | 1,773$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.33 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 49c | 1,690$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.13 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 1,398$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.34 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 1,156$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.77 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 963.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 918$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 31c | 636.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 33c | 600$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 577.6$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 21c | 542.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 448.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 68c | 420.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 34c | 294.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…92c6backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 268.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 20c | 235.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…fd20backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 37c | 195.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 67c | 163.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 162.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 140.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 27c | 132.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 23c | 115.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 103.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 68c | 102.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 16c | 101.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed No | 71c | 71.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 60.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…8765backed Yes | 28c | 59.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…2a30backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…3551backed No | 67c | 49.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 66c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…a821backed No | 68c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.