TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb88…2a30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$17.95
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+41.9%+$12.14
Wyoming vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53.21
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
Missouri State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.37
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Florida vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
South Carolina vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35%+$40.8
SMU vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Rice vs. Charlottebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$98.66
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$35.05
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Sam Houston vs. Hawai'ibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$8.77
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$92.23
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$39.83
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$112
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$22.24
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+129%+$57.49
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.94
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$179
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$24.61
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$154
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$191.59
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$86.27
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$18.67
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$17.77
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$76.77
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+232.1%+$69.22
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$190.5
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$69.5
Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+46.9%+$96.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+525%+$73.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.5%+$48.03
Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.35
Sharks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+41.5%+$11.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.2%+$12.99
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+36.2%+$5.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$6.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.84
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$164
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.