College Football · resolved market
Florida State vs. Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802b26249e03ba6b92f73e1019f69f0688f9b59d2ea9ed8ec9f04cdeaed1dd24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Florida State, Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $872,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $860,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Florida State | 63c | 177,513$112,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,131.69 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Florida State | 72c | 136,905$98,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,755.73 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Virginia | 31c | 77,922$23,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,023.1 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Virginia | 28c | 76,062$21,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,783.7 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Virginia | 28c | 71,750$20,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,520.64 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia | 28c | 55,795$15,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,039.55 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Florida State | 62c | 37,617$23,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,447.6 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida State | 52c | 23,619$12,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,223.94 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Florida State | 71c | 22,306$15,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,763.26 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Virginia | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,199.99 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Virginia | 70c | 19,876$13,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Virginia | 28c | 17,913$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,933.1 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Florida State | 72c | 13,627$9,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,853.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Florida State | 50c | 12,131$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.35 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Virginia | 30c | 11,494$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia | 34c | 10,516$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.76 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Virginia | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Virginia | 28c | 9,471$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.17 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Virginia | 29c | 8,924$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.03 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State | 51c | 8,702$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.31 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia | 34c | 8,516$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.89 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida State | 70c | 6,799$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.04 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d27…3751backed Florida State | 75c | 6,662$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Virginia | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…f063backed Florida State | 71c | 4,930$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Virginia | 29c | 4,459$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.37 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virginia | 28c | 4,309$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.61 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Virginia | 54c | 4,204$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.33 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida State | 50c | 4,004$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.54 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Virginia | 30c | 3,620$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.99 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia | 27c | 3,244$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.4 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Virginia | 28c | 3,094$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Virginia | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Florida State | 64c | 2,736$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Florida State | 65c | 2,538$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.08 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida State | 58c | 2,461$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.54 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Virginia | 28c | 2,228$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.26 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Florida State | 69c | 2,179$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.73 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Florida State | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Virginia | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virginia | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Florida State | 43c | 1,976$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Florida State | 54c | 1,931$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia | 43c | 1,917$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.57 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida State | 38c | 1,799$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.92 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Virginia | 46c | 1,723$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Virginia | 28c | 1,692$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.26 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Virginia | 32c | 1,600$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Virginia | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Florida State | 54c | 1,576$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Virginia | 42c | 1,556$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.72 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Florida State | 41c | 1,451$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Florida State | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Florida State | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Florida State | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Florida State | 67c | 1,186$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.24 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Virginia | 29c | 1,054$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.34 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Virginia | 39c | 1,050$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Florida State | 51c | 1,034$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.53 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Florida State | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…a43cbacked Virginia | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Florida State | 42c | 997.16$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.38 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia | 33c | 937.49$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.01 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida State | 56c | 924.03$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.03 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Florida State | 69c | 912.21$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Virginia | 28c | 900$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Virginia | 52c | 860.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.38 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e093backed Florida State | 70c | 850$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Virginia | 30c | 850$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked Florida State | 76c | 811.51$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Florida State | 55c | 797.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Virginia | 29c | 767.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Virginia | 51c | 750$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Virginia | 42c | 711.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…6a50backed Virginia | 54c | 658.45$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Virginia | 30c | 633.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Florida State | 58c | 596.93$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.32 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…793bbacked Florida State | 57c | 580$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed Florida State | 70c | 570$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Florida State | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Florida State | 34c | 531.76$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked Virginia | 30c | 500.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked Florida State | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Florida State | 75c | 467.73$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Florida State | 70c | 467.5$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Virginia | 70c | 441.5$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Florida State | 50c | 438.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Florida State | 35c | 429.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…f739backed Florida State | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Florida State | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Florida State | 71c | 373$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Florida State | 72c | 359.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5385…33e2backed Virginia | 28c | 350$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Florida State | 53c | 347.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…49bcbacked Florida State | 73c | 264.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Virginia | 24c | 253.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Florida State | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Florida State | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Florida State | 71c | 240$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Florida State | 56c | 238$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida State vs. Virginiathis page
- O/U 58.5Over won
- Spread: Florida State (-7.5)Virginia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.