TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cbb…374a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.59
Ohio State vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,181.86
Louisville vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,941.23
Duke vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,998.05
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,501Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+228.3%+$7,993.53
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$964.18
Michigan State vs. USCbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$368
UTSA vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$438
Purdue vs. Notre Damebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Temple vs. Georgia Techbacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Kent State vs. Florida Statebacked Kent State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Toledo vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+263.4%+$2,033.68
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$749.4
Oregon State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+614%+$2,922.47
UAB vs. Tennesseebacked UAB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.41
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,650
Maryland vs. Wisconsinbacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+289.3%+$4,050.56
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+223%+$5,800.19
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,312.36
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$2,111
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.62
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,707.05
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,946.4
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,610.86
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,643.18
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,432.8
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$579
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$333
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,591Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$8,689.95
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,536Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$3,099.56
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,827Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+332.4%+$6,072.35
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on September 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on September 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on September 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on September 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 72°F or below on September 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$581
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,598Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+152.3%+$11,569.11
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,582.71
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,488
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,833.33
Will Girona win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$542
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
"Him" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$380
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.