College Football · resolved market
Arkansas vs. Memphis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe671e803cfb5f3febf9e37f91c9b186dbe22fca81952636ddfd17f892bc6177a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Arkansas, Memphis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Memphis | 31c | 35,530$11,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,516.26 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Arkansas | 69c | 24,802$17,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,116.19 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Arkansas | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Memphis | 24c | 16,924$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,841.29 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Arkansas | 73c | 16,530$12,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,043.95 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas | 71c | 12,413$8,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,842.1 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Arkansas | 69c | 12,365$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.03 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Memphis | 31c | 11,753$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.2 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Memphis | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Memphis | 31c | 8,401$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Memphis | 35c | 6,431$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.73 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Arkansas | 71c | 6,156$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.94 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas | 71c | 5,773$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.61 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas | 43c | 5,617$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.26 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Memphis | 63c | 5,255$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.39 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Arkansas | 69c | 4,117$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.17 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas | 59c | 3,706$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.64 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Memphis | 25c | 3,165$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arkansas | 11c | 2,546$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.66 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arkansas | 44c | 2,509$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.28 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Memphis | 24c | 2,118$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.77 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Memphis | 31c | 1,745$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.42 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas | 70c | 1,674$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.77 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas | 34c | 1,658$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.4 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Arkansas | 71c | 1,626$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Memphis | 59c | 1,440$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.05 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Memphis | 27c | 1,433$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.31 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Memphis | 29c | 1,425$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Memphis | 38c | 1,297$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.52 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas | 66c | 1,250$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Arkansas | 69c | 1,101$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.94 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Arkansas | 2c | 1,086$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Memphis | 29c | 1,031$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.7 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…ae49backed Memphis | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…b9dfbacked Arkansas | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8fffbacked Memphis | 29c | 1,000$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Arkansas | 72c | 906.39$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arkansas | 1c | 876.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Arkansas | 74c | 809.34$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…4b18backed Memphis | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…49cebacked Arkansas | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Arkansas | 9c | 713.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Memphis | 28c | 710.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Arkansas | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Memphis | 28c | 653.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.51 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Arkansas | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Arkansas | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Arkansas | 65c | 552.31$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas | 70c | 528.17$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arkansas | 70c | 519.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…ebd1backed Memphis | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…721fbacked Arkansas | 70c | 451.19$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arkansas | 63c | 406$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Memphis | 25c | 369.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Memphis | 23c | 360.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Memphis | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Memphis | 25c | 316.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Arkansas | 69c | 294$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Arkansas | 77c | 261.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arkansas | 67c | 245.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Memphis | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x940a…840fbacked Memphis | 14c | 211.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +252.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Memphis | 12c | 210$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Arkansas | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Memphis | 30c | 197$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas | 60c | 196.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed Memphis | 30c | 169.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Memphis | 13c | 160.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Memphis | 23c | 155$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arkansas | 11c | 153.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Arkansas | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Memphis | 12c | 147.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Arkansas | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Memphis | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Arkansas | 71c | 142.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arkansas | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…e165backed Arkansas | 72c | 139.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Memphis | 73c | 134.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…1165backed Memphis | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Arkansas | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Memphis | 23c | 122.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Arkansas | 65c | 121.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…69bfbacked Arkansas | 57c | 111.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Memphis | 25c | 110.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Arkansas | 71c | 103.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis | 30c | 103$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arkansas | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…5a60backed Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Memphis | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…673fbacked Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…ecb2backed Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…f9a2backed Memphis | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…dad3backed Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…f59bbacked Memphis | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…d3c4backed Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…8eddbacked Memphis | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…44c5backed Memphis | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…89c0backed Memphis | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…e1ccbacked Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9b43backed Arkansas | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas vs. Memphisthis page
- Arkansas vs. Memphis: O/U 60.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas (-7.5)Memphis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.