TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29c5…b378

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$299
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+46%+$23.01
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will AZ win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will PSV win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-57.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$72.16
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 125–139 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+187.2%+$1,137.93
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+117.7%+$717.08
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$925
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+202.6%+$314.05
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,247
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+182.3%+$5,783.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$78
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$59.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.