Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d4065037269cba951b678342c438a07cb77a24370756c284113f5f2106290ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 28c | 18,719$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 24c | 10,792$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.27 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 27c | 10,318$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.55 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 75c | 7,979$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.8 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 72c | 6,928$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.88 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked No | 18c | 6,587$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 24c | 5,173$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.83 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 4,580$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.09 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 72c | 4,325$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.83 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 76c | 4,191$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 4,180$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.27 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 24c | 4,001$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.33 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,826$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 26c | 3,417$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.29 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 25c | 3,009$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 26c | 2,983$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.6 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 72c | 2,763$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.81 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 77c | 2,623$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…a20abacked Yes | 75c | 2,605$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 77c | 2,233$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 26c | 2,012$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 25c | 2,004$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…a39cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,558$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 19c | 1,468$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.79 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 1,386$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,344$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 76c | 1,291$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 71c | 1,211$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…9a4dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,173$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 25c | 999.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 74c | 788.22$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 72c | 762.39$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 76c | 721.17$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 70c | 701$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 74c | 700$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 75c | 662.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 75c | 626.67$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 76c | 613.16$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 28c | 471$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 21c | 467.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 28c | 439.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 76c | 438.16$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked No | 37c | 424.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…d9f7backed Yes | 68c | 385.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 29c | 378.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 75c | 376.32$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 74c | 337.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…6e03backed Yes | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 73c | 330.38$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 76c | 315.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 75c | 296.44$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 72c | 295.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 71c | 279.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 25c | 275$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 75c | 266.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…b074backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6327backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 76c | 247.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 72c | 245.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 75c | 235.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…d31ebacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 75c | 223.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 75c | 217.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes | 64c | 206.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…6d71backed No | 25c | 200.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 73c | 199.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 28c | 199.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 30c | 196.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 18c | 190$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…00b1backed Yes | 74c | 186.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 29c | 186.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 76c | 180.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.