TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a95…9bbb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$35.45
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$32.48
Twins vs. White Soxbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$80
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$391.47
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.66
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.11
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$24.36
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$27.91
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.29
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$37.92
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$94.57
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Dreambacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Fever vs Mysticsbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Fever vs Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+188.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$37.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.