Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b687ef3cd727786eeb3567a5ea7ed3cf797f99b5f0c7d324af3bd8404ddaee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 61c | 47,686$29,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,440.36 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 40c | 25,753$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,393.32 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 40c | 21,215$8,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,440.65 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 39c | 18,592$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,205.5 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 0c | 16,923$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 7c | 9,918$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 38c | 6,132$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.21 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 70c | 5,164$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.81 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…f770backed Yes | 59c | 4,086$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 21c | 3,561$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.29 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 12c | 3,406$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.57 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 61c | 3,300$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 2,550$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 38c | 2,000$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 40c | 1,818$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.17 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,771$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310c…c503backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 5c | 1,690$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.62 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 24c | 1,679$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 42c | 1,659$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.94 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 38c | 1,510$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.71 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 59c | 1,203$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Yes | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 18c | 1,130$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 62c | 1,071$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.97 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 60c | 833.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…994dbacked Yes | 59c | 734.8$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes | 60c | 689.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 59c | 569.85$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…302abacked Yes | 60c | 491.97$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 61c | 488.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…af0ebacked Yes | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 64c | 405.51$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 59c | 351.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked No | 41c | 340$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 60c | 332.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 78c | 327$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 39c | 327$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…055abacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…9351backed Yes | 78c | 296.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 62c | 284.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…fec4backed Yes | 59c | 283.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 59c | 269$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +112%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 60c | 266.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Yes | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 60c | 247.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…691abacked Yes | 76c | 245$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…7a22backed Yes | 62c | 240.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 60c | 240.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 60c | 190$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 59c | 172.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 39c | 171$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 59c | 170.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 62c | 162.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…3e4cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes | 60c | 160.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…7fc6backed Yes | 61c | 153.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…c6e8backed Yes | 59c | 151.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Yes | 61c | 144.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 62c | 140.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5f66backed Yes | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked No | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 75c | 86.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…d9b8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…b81bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 81.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 62c | 77.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…812fbacked Yes | 59c | 76.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…de4abacked Yes | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 42c | 72.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed No | 40c | 71.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…1ac1backed Yes | 61c | 69.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid in regulation time?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw after regulation time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.