MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ca64aafb5fe4d711a5846428e7dbf924cc69cc7cc35b8a5fabb090a6c065a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 46c | 7,034$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.31 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 54c | 5,224$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.9 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Giants | 48c | 5,210$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 42c | 3,968$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 46c | 3,133$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 45c | 2,729$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.75 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 57c | 2,588$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.73 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 45c | 2,486$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 55c | 2,268$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.42 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pirates | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Pirates | 72c | 1,999$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Giants | 50c | 1,996$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.09 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pirates | 35c | 1,989$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.78 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 53c | 1,883$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.9 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 45c | 1,767$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.85 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 68c | 1,751$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.86 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…02edbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Giants | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…c0f2backed Giants | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8e5ebacked Giants | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…fb40backed Pirates | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5f95backed Pirates | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…b269backed Giants | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…de6bbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…0d0cbacked Giants | 55c | 1,135$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants | 40c | 1,133$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Giants | 48c | 1,131$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.89 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…886fbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,104$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…d78fbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,096$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…ff94backed Giants | 55c | 1,065$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Giants | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Giants | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Giants | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Giants | 12c | 905.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…8384backed Pirates | 45c | 890$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 58c | 869.01$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.56 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Pirates | 79c | 833.62$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Pirates | 77c | 833$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.73 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Giants | 49c | 812.24$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pirates | 69c | 766.1$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Pirates | 68c | 729.89$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Pirates | 68c | 726.67$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.46 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pirates | 74c | 715.81$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Pirates | 75c | 711.05$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Pirates | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates | 45c | 696.27$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Pirates | 45c | 665.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.29 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 3c | 660$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 50c | 652.89$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Giants | 55c | 649.16$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.04 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 54c | 613.28$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates | 49c | 599.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Giants | 55c | 579.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 64c | 566.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 45c | 467.21$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.94 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 63c | 464.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Giants | 55c | 457.87$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.83 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Giants | 59c | 425.07$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…aa7abacked Pirates | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Pirates | 59c | 399.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Pirates | 76c | 394.03$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 51c | 385.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…198fbacked Giants | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Pirates | 74c | 339.4$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 53c | 326.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 45c | 300.34$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Giants | 24c | 299.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Giants | 8c | 289.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 44c | 279.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 53c | 269.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Pirates | 75c | 260.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Pirates | 47c | 260.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Pirates | 45c | 251.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 45c | 226.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Giants | 55c | 225$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…8d3cbacked Giants | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 55c | 218.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 45c | 216.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Pirates | 52c | 201.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pirates | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pirates | 45c | 184.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Pirates | 45c | 178.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 35c | 169.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Giants | 59c | 135.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 45c | 134.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 49c | 118.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giants | 64c | 109.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…00cdbacked Giants | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Giants | 56c | 103.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.