Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a2c341bde029fb59f598c802bbd04763f634aa5ec642a7b016dfaee0000582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $855,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,004,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 40c | 339,777$136,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,153.06 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 59c | 178,736$106,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,435.12 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 59c | 110,000$64,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,121.33 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 61c | 50,804$30,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,813.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 48,248$28,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,781.68 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Yes | 60c | 36,290$21,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,515.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 41c | 31,177$12,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,737.03 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 41c | 24,439$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 41c | 19,683$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 33c | 18,053$6,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.66 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 41c | 17,330$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.32 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 17,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 15,369$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.44 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 59c | 14,397$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.58 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 41c | 14,345$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.32 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 61c | 14,266$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.85 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 41c | 10,864$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.34 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 38c | 9,500$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.98 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 42c | 8,585$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.01 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 62c | 8,118$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 41c | 7,207$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 76c | 6,000$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.82 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 41c | 6,000$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 60c | 5,737$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…87b1backed Yes | 60c | 4,328$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed No | 41c | 3,474$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 78c | 3,258$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 39c | 3,225$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.24 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 12c | 3,124$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.22 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 62c | 3,077$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.38 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 41c | 3,049$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,681$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 41c | 2,600$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 40c | 2,593$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 2,590$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.83 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 41c | 2,581$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 42c | 2,362$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 59c | 2,250$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 41c | 2,241$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 25c | 2,150$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.31 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.13 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 2,000$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.7 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed No | 41c | 1,999$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 36c | 1,999$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 42c | 1,830$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 24c | 1,700$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 62c | 1,618$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 39c | 1,548$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 63c | 1,542$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.23 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 14c | 1,500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,485$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.38 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 41c | 1,380$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.79 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,254$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 1,220$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…056cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,166$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 41c | 1,149$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.02 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 41c | 1,143$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.49 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.43 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 58c | 1,084$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 59c | 1,005$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Yes | 63c | 805$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 41c | 799.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 70c | 785.93$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 40c | 782.21$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.28 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 59c | 708.24$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.38 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 63c | 704.86$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Yes | 60c | 690.72$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.29 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 38c | 674.19$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 38c | 625.81$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.81 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 41c | 610.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 61c | 603.36$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 40c | 599.95$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 62c | 572.29$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 60c | 558.87$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 555$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.