Champions League · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde57a3ab0f35ebc62125761953d23606f3b5958e2cabe7b7dccdc17c883e7a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 17c | 416,269$70,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,645.66 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 18c | 18,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 18c | 5,637$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 18c | 3,700$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 19c | 3,171$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.97 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 19c | 2,385$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 17c | 1,841$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.03 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 7c | 1,490$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 15c | 1,417$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 6c | 1,095$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 18c | 900$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 17c | 845$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x199e…fa60backed Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…be5abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…489ebacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 19c | 535.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e32…0dccbacked Yes | 3c | 510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…2a47backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…c3c2backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 14c | 419.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 397.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 4c | 378.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…e801backed Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 10c | 336.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…3e36backed Yes | 17c | 330.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 19c | 300.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…390bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…53ccbacked Yes | 19c | 208.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 19c | 205.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 18c | 202.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…f8b9backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…2a84backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…7e09backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…d885backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28e…adc0backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…6c18backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ab…4d8cbacked Yes | 18c | 132.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 132.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…07d0backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e1…658cbacked Yes | 17c | 115.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…44a2backed Yes | 18c | 108.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 18c | 108.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…4575backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 19c | 105.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…0e8bbacked Yes | 19c | 104.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…add0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2198…0845backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…af30backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…ee7dbacked Yes | 19c | 80.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.