TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7c6…9508

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT200%0 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will Utah State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.78
Will VCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.72
Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Wright State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.44
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.01
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$47.73
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$61.95
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$105.46
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$95.21
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+115.1%+$68.52
Football.Fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74.89
Football.Fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.09
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+470.4%+$301.04
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47.58
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,163.8%+$232.76
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70.07
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Opensea launch a token by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$23.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.56
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.1
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+258.7%+$28.85
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.59
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.54
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$92.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$41.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick2cpaid+218.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+374.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs MIBR (BO3)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.