Token Launches · resolved market
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac66fd2f1f2a16d975d65644a41d96eba433c2f12bca3dc08053bbbff8b27982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93c1…637ebacked Yes | 18c | 13,841$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…080fbacked Yes | 13c | 9,180$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed No | 40c | 7,996$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 19c | 6,681$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 15c | 5,389$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…2d1cbacked Yes | 18c | 5,265$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,805$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 4,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…97a2backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…28a8backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…35b5backed Yes | 12c | 3,975$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…4a0ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,533$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…803cbacked No | 54c | 2,691$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 15c | 2,518$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.82 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Yes | 69c | 2,500$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 74c | 2,306$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…6174backed No | 78c | 2,004$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…f930backed Yes | 21c | 1,991$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…54f0backed No | 52c | 1,911$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 34c | 1,903$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.03 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,832$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.74 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 25c | 1,799$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 44c | 1,700$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 33c | 1,680$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 77c | 1,655$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…110dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,581$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…8429backed Yes | 11c | 1,551$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 63c | 1,535$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 40c | 1,535$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 41c | 1,460$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.27 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 16c | 1,369$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,369$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…649fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,293$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2241…40f7backed Yes | 14c | 1,279$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,269$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,265$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…0645backed No | 79c | 1,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…03acbacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…c050backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc15…1cfabacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 37c | 1,000$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.5 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…be2cbacked No | 80c | 990.11$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed No | 75c | 987.88$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 64c | 955.89$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.15 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…20adbacked Yes | 14c | 940.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…a8b5backed Yes | 13c | 933.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…edc8backed Yes | 27c | 797.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…22f7backed No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…858fbacked Yes | 19c | 787.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…8c70backed No | 36c | 769.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 765.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…668cbacked Yes | 49c | 712.05$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 702$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 16c | 661.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fb…f996backed Yes | 17c | 593.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 20c | 590$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 8c | 537.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e4…87c6backed Yes | 49c | 531.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 42c | 528.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…e514backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef97…b8fcbacked Yes | 11c | 517.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…384dbacked Yes | 56c | 500.47$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…ee22backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa611…e553backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f79cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 67c | 499.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ae…0480backed Yes | 17c | 496.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 24c | 452$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked No | 79c | 437.56$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…d64cbacked Yes | 9c | 432.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 77c | 410$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…00a0backed Yes | 14c | 384.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed Yes | 46c | 376.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…6c2bbacked Yes | 14c | 376.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…5581backed Yes | 14c | 375.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…1b54backed Yes | 14c | 372.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 6c | 362.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…0429backed Yes | 14c | 362.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a5…ce2fbacked Yes | 12c | 362.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…7788backed Yes | 36c | 354.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…bdf2backed No | 44c | 340.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes | 15c | 333.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…ea81backed Yes | 25c | 327$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5a83backed Yes | 19c | 304.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…3901backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…90ccbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…6de6backed Yes | 12c | 298.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a7…bb4cbacked Yes | 12c | 290$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…cdedbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…74a9backed Yes | 19c | 268.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 79c | 254.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
- Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.