Token Launches · resolved market
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ccba0adfa651ec05f16de548313125377c73cc19c2d5b5dc6d1a69823e59fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ac4…387ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…2d1cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,803$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 2c | 9,401$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Yes | 37c | 6,847$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.06 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 49c | 5,524$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 5,453$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 54c | 4,299$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.94 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,712$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…110dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,668$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 65c | 3,420$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.8 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 2c | 2,714$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…186dbacked No | 75c | 2,637$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f79cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed No | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed Yes | 1c | 1,671$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 1c | 1,619$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 1,246$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed No | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…9094backed Yes | 3c | 1,074$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 1c | 995.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…a444backed Yes | 3c | 991.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 962.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 944.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 887.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 871.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 811.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…c8aebacked No | 54c | 775.36$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 65c | 774.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…528abacked Yes | 2c | 726$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e9…db2cbacked No | 65c | 713.31$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…70b8backed Yes | 3c | 621.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…e3adbacked No | 69c | 587.34$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 582.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…2825backed Yes | 4c | 575.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…9a17backed Yes | 3c | 543.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 528.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 505.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 18c | 414.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…392fbacked No | 75c | 402.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…4795backed No | 51c | 391.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 73c | 380.75$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 59c | 346$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb7…4ef3backed No | 65c | 308.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 27c | 308.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcd…7865backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…3c07backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6307backed Yes | 37c | 267.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 29c | 259.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed Yes | 40c | 246$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 30c | 225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 17c | 206$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…f900backed No | 65c | 179.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 169.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes | 48c | 163$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…e150backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…f065backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +8.5wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…33fabacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…711dbacked Yes | 73c | 147.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 41c | 133.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 54c | 131.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…0f4abacked Yes | 16c | 126.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…9ce6backed Yes | 17c | 124.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked No | 63c | 124.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…d33cbacked No | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 17c | 101.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…ee20backed Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 51c | 92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…ac58backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 55c | 76.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…c307backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…fac8backed Yes | 71c | 70.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…51e2backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…d197backed No | 33c | 69.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed No | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 24c | 62.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 29c | 60.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…23cdbacked No | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…bd9dbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…3455backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…5f1cbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
- Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.