TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b97…0efe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will StandX launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$414.68
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$550.61
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$968
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$830
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26%+$358.2
Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,658Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.3%+$1,496.76
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$242.15
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+64.6%+$334.78
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$135
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+189.9%+$654.98
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.5%+$242.81
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+488.2%+$830
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$895
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$295
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$357.47
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$708.01
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.13
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 3+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$110.71
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,052
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$477
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.59
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$690
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$17.96
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.4%+$78.99
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.64
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.28
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+298.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+157.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$113.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$50.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$49.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$132.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$121.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.