Ukraine · resolved market

Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c3e82dc81911cbc4f9135ce41474f2fdcefa696f6870dea2c518d49623165b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $182,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $163,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,006 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5188…c804backed No	11c	16,900$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,869.76	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+5.3wins	+0.27per pick	38cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12d6…f2a8backed No	0c	14,446$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b44…264ebacked No	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No	5c	6,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	115	30.4%35 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	10c	5,618$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.84	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbae2…05f2backed No	6c	5,531$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.32	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3594…dc58backed No	17c	4,254$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.97	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No	8c	3,012$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.19	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed No	13c	2,538$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.04	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	12c	2,521$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.65	263	18.3%48 W · 215 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	12c	2,400$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.48	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No	11c	2,209$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.64	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2592…839abacked No	14c	2,080$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No	22c	2,000$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.07	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8a…fd8dbacked No	4c	1,712$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed No	18c	1,213$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.96	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed No	13c	1,168$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.74	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed No	3c	1,155$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74e…e0a6backed No	3c	1,120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e1…1728backed No	4c	1,060$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No	12c	1,044$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.87	86	4.7%4 W · 82 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-87%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No	6c	999.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	143	2.1%3 W · 140 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked No	17c	894.56$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	14c	892.33$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.68	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	14c	856.54$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.28	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes	77c	846.78$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.97	93	26.9%25 W · 68 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No	12c	828.72$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.99	154	51.3%79 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc63a…6fc0backed No	11c	724.98$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeacd…8143backed No	17c	700.48$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.97	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	20c	699.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ca…c807backed No	21c	651.23$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb8…3236backed No	5c	572.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x075a…fb98backed No	12c	483.25$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No	12c	466.96$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.91	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb436…bb3cbacked No	22c	462.55$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b44…1987backed No	18c	456.01$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked No	10c	433.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed No	23c	430.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x297a…92e0backed No	19c	427.34$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.57	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked No	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed No	11c	399.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes	80c	376.83$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.83	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a8…2726backed No	9c	366.29$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.97	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5039…946dbacked No	12c	362.97$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed No	9c	356.74$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed No	14c	351.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed No	16c	307.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked No	8c	299.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	47	2.1%1 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-95.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No	12c	297.12$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	95	18.9%18 W · 77 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1453…959dbacked No	9c	294.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked No	8c	289.21$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x887f…a4cbbacked No	21c	288.06$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No	21c	285.66$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.07	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked No	19c	280$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.8wins	-0.24per pick	43cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fd3…1fa0backed No	13c	266.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed Yes	78c	249.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No	23c	242.17$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed No	21c	236.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed No	18c	236.57$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed81…82eebacked No	22c	230.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	20c	221.62$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.32	308	37.7%116 W · 192 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed No	23c	221.14$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86c…10f3backed No	14c	211.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed No	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddce…7194backed Yes	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed No	8c	199.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked No	13c	197.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…c03abacked No	15c	197.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…7027backed No	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No	13c	149.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	14c	139.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	294	16%47 W · 247 L	-53.7wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x35f4…0d0dbacked No	15c	131.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked No	20c	130.73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f10…cbbdbacked No	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…311abacked Yes	80c	126.56$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.31	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb09f…545cbacked No	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba31…1376backed No	23c	121.63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed No	20c	121.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0650…12dfbacked No	18c	120.31$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0eb…2d82backed Yes	80c	120.03$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x569f…5561backed No	18c	109$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.85	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bba…55e0backed No	16c	108.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4384…175fbacked No	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	14c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3710…2b8dbacked Yes	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…407fbacked No	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed No	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	89	36%32 W · 57 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d86…5073backed No	19c	93.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b28…aa68backed No	13c	92.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd1…ac3fbacked No	16c	87.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cef…4017backed No	23c	86.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373c…afbcbacked No	21c	76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes	80c	75$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No	17c	73.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e8…0af7backed No	15c	72.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…64c8backed Yes	79c	62.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes	79c	61.29$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.87	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2938…8862backed No	23c	61.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7227…3681backed No	18c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x190a…4ab4backed No	21c	55.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event