Ukraine · resolved market

Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc19590ddd9f305c635dadf762d3ec35d77d04814144a9c299a2da36572568aa

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac45…20c5backed Yes	59c	1,031$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.03	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-6.8wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	36c	758.49$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.81	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	51c	685.58$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.62	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed No	64c	675.67$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.73	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…8370backed Yes	35c	671.58$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.36	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed No	56c	641.08$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.09	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed No	74c	605.88$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c08…eba9backed Yes	50c	546.97$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.12	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes	42c	499.98$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b0…fd02backed Yes	44c	400$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb735…e499backed No	55c	390.54$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.54	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No	60c	385.13$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.05	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b2…4486backed No	58c	343.85$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.85	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed No	57c	314.1$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.92	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ca…960bbacked No	64c	311.16$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.63	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d31…75d9backed Yes	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6174…fbcabacked Yes	45c	299.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+117.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked No	57c	299.97$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5039…946dbacked Yes	36c	285.59$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed No	52c	281.06$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.2	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No	76c	270.5$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.01	262	38.5%101 W · 161 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	29c	266.65$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.44	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…3b3ebacked Yes	40c	245$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	64c	238.2$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.98	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c65…d60dbacked Yes	43c	235.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed Yes	40c	232.5$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.66	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	44c	225$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.13	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed No	54c	224$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.04	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	54c	223.58$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.04	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x651a…9f8fbacked Yes	34c	210$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8a…fd8dbacked Yes	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	25c	190.55$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.1	294	16%47 W · 247 L	-53.7wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdec4…5488backed No	58c	188.09$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176d…f045backed No	54c	185.07$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes	59c	169.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed No	60c	168$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84fa…1327backed No	75c	159.38$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f2…7027backed No	57c	158.95$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.02	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9a…cf52backed Yes	41c	157.41$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b2…b7febacked Yes	41c	139.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.86	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…43a5backed Yes	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes	30c	116.68$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	38c	109.69$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed No	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	25c	99.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	51c	98.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+79%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked No	53c	95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-73%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606c…92f8backed No	73c	82.93$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569f…5561backed No	79c	81.4$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.09	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes	43c	80.07$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	27cpaid	-93.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44b8…6459backed No	49c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.28per pick	43cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26a8…2726backed Yes	42c	78.48$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	22c	72.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	86	4.7%4 W · 82 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-87%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d6c…3407backed Yes	53c	71.41$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.64	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b07…de95backed Yes	42c	70.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed No	73c	70$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	70cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…d27fbacked Yes	58c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…ac99backed No	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb09f…545cbacked Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	30c	66.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…9218backed Yes	55c	61.46$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11ce…814abacked No	55c	60.44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cb…ae6dbacked No	42c	60.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	34c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	394	29.4%116 W · 278 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0eb…2d82backed Yes	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51c…502dbacked Yes	41c	59.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed No	51c	59.23$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb316…e5c3backed Yes	26c	56.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14f…4110backed Yes	38c	52.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0051…2df3backed No	58c	52.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.69	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aae…251cbacked Yes	51c	50.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes	40c	50.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No	54c	50.02$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.9	95	18.9%18 W · 77 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	268	35.1%94 W · 174 L	-38.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x46a1…2736backed No	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a96…7508backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.2	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0049…6034backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…696fbacked Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed No	77c	47.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.26	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes	36c	46.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5383…bffcbacked Yes	52c	44.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	74c	44.63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.77	66	75.8%50 W · 16 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7094…530abacked Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f10…cbbdbacked No	60c	42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3230…1409backed No	79c	40.58$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447f…f362backed Yes	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes	42c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea3…52a1backed Yes	46c	39.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed No	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed No	74c	38.26$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.95	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	60cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fe…fe2bbacked Yes	54c	37.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event