TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e18…696f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.78
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.1%+$11.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.83
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$13.32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.25
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.6
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$38.25
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+126.6%+$80.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vietnam vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.