TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,140,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,469,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,140,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No17c155,500$26,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,435.033141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c127,278$27,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,701.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No17c64,453$11,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,233.229450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No17c54,357$9,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,082.899536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No18c42,329$7,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,617.61,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No19c40,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No19c36,083$6,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.036836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No18c33,055$5,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,864.698828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No18c24,977$4,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.839028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No19c20,200$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4009459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.982646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No20c19,223$3,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.8269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No17c18,090$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.35442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No39c17,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6304548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No18c15,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No18c14,530$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.367139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No23c13,829$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.7325248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No18c12,953$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.563925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No18c12,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.987321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No4c12,157$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5229038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes61c11,445$6,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.4414067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No6c10,000$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.882748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No8c9,998$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.826575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No18c9,668$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.713046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c9,362$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.4479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No17c7,596$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.248521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes74c7,269$5,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No15c6,914$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.2625872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No19c6,591$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.195141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No19c6,293$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.0153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0209625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…e029backed No20c5,954$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked No18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf71…1727backed No20c4,751$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No17c4,384$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.682035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No17c4,327$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.19175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No22c4,290$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.14753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No19c4,279$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb704…a0f5backed No20c4,111$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e26…02f7backed No20c4,072$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…c45dbacked No20c3,901$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No18c3,891$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.6264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No18c3,890$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.273946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…30bcbacked No20c3,878$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…1b16backed No20c3,779$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c3,719$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No21c3,650$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.9490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e79…1f3abacked No20c3,643$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c3,624$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.9974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No16c3,600$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5886431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb8b…0b5bbacked Yes80c3,580$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d1…2147backed No20c3,566$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fc…e5d8backed No20c3,397$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…0d6bbacked No20c3,368$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b5…f5d2backed No20c3,283$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba8…958dbacked No11c3,272$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6601…72ccbacked No20c3,208$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b73…77edbacked No20c3,107$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No18c3,050$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54915516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9df…6f94backed No20c3,045$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ce…b232backed No20c3,032$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No17c3,024$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3913845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd0…2316backed Yes80c2,997$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes67c2,986$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…2cf9backed No20c2,953$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5f…36e9backed Yes80c2,917$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…8eefbacked No20c2,867$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f97…0465backed Yes80c2,831$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde52…c99bbacked No20c2,785$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.736100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2922…5422backed No20c2,716$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…61d5backed No20c2,713$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.72748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5c…d316backed No20c2,700$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038b…6470backed No20c2,662$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f0…ff95backed No20c2,661$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d8…fe36backed No20c2,633$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x372e…6badbacked No20c2,624$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5f36backed No20c2,601$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2a…89eebacked No20c2,594$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e4…b1dbbacked No20c2,570$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed No19c2,566$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8810…d314backed Yes80c2,563$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d1…5ae7backed No20c2,551$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a9…836ebacked No20c2,534$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299c…45f5backed No20c2,513$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f27…ddcfbacked Yes80c2,508$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8757…0795backed No20c2,508$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97512251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e7c…bcbbbacked No20c2,498$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19c5…3ceebacked No20c2,457$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f9…b5bebacked No20c2,408$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa7…d476backed No20c2,393$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c0…5cacbacked No20c2,386$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…ded8backed Yes80c2,345$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c9…38afbacked No20c2,342$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…ce85backed No20c2,338$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.