La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1ddb33ec2f0dbbf52aadbb068f642c059825fffc94cf01c5be93d2312a5a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 22,815$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.81 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 26c | 7,225$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.71 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 66c | 3,006$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.98 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 2,167$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.45 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…1fa1backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,438$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 9c | 1,131$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c86…d153backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 910.55$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 12c | 805.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 781.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 22c | 680.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 21c | 514.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Yes | 12c | 423.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 16c | 393.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 20c | 391.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 380$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…bfdbbacked Yes | 33c | 337.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 8c | 307.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 12c | 293.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 12c | 257.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 11c | 188.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…3036backed Yes | 38c | 187$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 47c | 182.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 173$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 53c | 158.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 16c | 155.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 10c | 153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…df24backed Yes | 31c | 113.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…a05ebacked Yes | 20c | 105.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…40e9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…add6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 11c | 98.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 11c | 97.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 13c | 81.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 33c | 75.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 69.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 22c | 61.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes | 71c | 57.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…ac67backed Yes | 33c | 45.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…9a74backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 30c | 36.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.