Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6dd57fbce4fa1a52ed0cccad80f5b08c6b311f13fc295718944a7985506c0f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,984 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	58c	17,680$10,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,423.97	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	58c	8,602$5,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575.14	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes	42c	7,024$2,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,984.13	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	41c	6,076$2,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,514.97	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes	41c	5,488$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes	41c	4,861$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,993	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Yes	41c	3,659$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	58c	3,237$1,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374.62	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	59c	3,000$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No	59c	2,858$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.51	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes	43c	2,591$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.15	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc197…709fbacked Yes	41c	2,441$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes	44c	2,271$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	59c	2,204$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.51	211	40.3%85 W · 126 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No	55c	1,951$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.49	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	59c	1,870$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.71	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes	43c	1,860$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes	42c	1,678$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes	42c	1,500$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.58	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes	40c	1,380$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.15	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Yes	43c	1,290$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.67	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	59c	1,214$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.68	214	44.9%96 W · 118 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	60c	1,157$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.56	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	59c	953.83$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.07	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes	43c	943.76$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.16	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	59c	910$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.1	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No	58c	818.16$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.63	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes	40c	802.92$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.17	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes	39c	777$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.03	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes	41c	739.31$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	138	60.1%83 W · 55 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb43d…703cbacked Yes	43c	697.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No	59c	599.99$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	61c	587.23$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.23	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	61c	540.56$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.68	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes	41c	485.1$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.48	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	59c	449.21$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.5	346	30.1%104 W · 242 L	-21.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Yes	36c	416.81$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes	37c	404.76$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No	58c	372.74$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.97	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes	42c	357.95$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.34	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes	44c	318.18$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	18c	299.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	60c	297.22$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.14	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	60c	258.71$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.2	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes	40c	250.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.22	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9959…eae7backed Yes	41c	243.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No	59c	240$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.4	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes	42c	236.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	42c	235.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes	42c	233.33$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	146	20.5%30 W · 116 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5abb…5a2fbacked Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes	19c	222.56$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes	45c	218.46$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.58	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3a9…df50backed No	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	37cpaid	+144.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes	41c	195.12$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes	44c	193.18$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No	66c	179.73$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.25	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes	42c	178.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes	42c	178.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes	42c	170.21$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.49	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	43c	165$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.95	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes	43c	163.93$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.49	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Yes	42c	160.06$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.57	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes	43c	157.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.74	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes	47c	150$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.81	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Yes	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes	41c	146.34$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe42…87eebacked Yes	41c	145.24$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes	43c	145.24$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes	21c	141.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Yes	44c	135.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.61	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes	40c	130$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	39c	129.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	51.1%91 W · 87 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	59c	120$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab81…249abacked Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…c836backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes	42c	118.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No	59c	112.49$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.12	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No	56c	109.26$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes	35c	100.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db5…ff72backed Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab62…cc46backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?this page
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Sudan end in a draw?No won
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event