Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4713089ab94dbcfdaf003c792d304236139d112394734e54b35cff567305e1ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 3,291$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.78 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 2,580$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.63 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 2,466$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 78c | 2,310$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 29c | 2,307$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.92 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 25c | 2,197$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 78c | 1,535$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 893.92$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.35 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 73c | 766.86$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.81 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 736$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.68 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…47eebacked Yes | 18c | 555$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Yes | 19c | 549.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 532.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…b019backed Yes | 29c | 523.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.24 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 71c | 508$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978c…5c4abacked Yes | 80c | 501.75$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked No | 75c | 438.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 17c | 400$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 361.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 316.31$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 20c | 302.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.91 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 299$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 41c | 274.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 19c | 273.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 73c | 235.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 214.27$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +191.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 12c | 171.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 80c | 162.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 74c | 135.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes | 74c | 121.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 19c | 119.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 74c | 117.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…88e2backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 25c | 96.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…51d0backed Yes | 74c | 81.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6d…14dfbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…e3acbacked Yes | 18c | 61.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 33c | 60.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Yes | 80c | 56.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed No | 75c | 52.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes | 80c | 51.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked No | 76c | 51.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes | 74c | 47.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…2337backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 76c | 27.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 70c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Sudan end in a draw?No won
- Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.