TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62ba…31db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.27
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$6.4
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$9.09
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.24
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.3
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.8
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$28.24
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$28.97
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)backed Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.92
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.66
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$23.9
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.67
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Botafogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$28
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$10.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.6%+$16.66
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+115.8%+$16.1
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+52.5%+$5.77
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.28
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+58.7%+$7.63
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$9.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$10.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$7.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$16.24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $50-$55 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.8%+$12.87
Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$6.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+102%+$11.11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+80.2%+$9.79
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.28
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.42
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$21.78
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$31.2
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.07
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+47.1%+$4.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65%+$41.35
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$2.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$17.95
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.79
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)backed FC Anyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$18.44
Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$41.34
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.79
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.1%+$8.38
Bitcoin all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$34.36
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$12.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+102.8%+$15.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+85.2%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.