TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb79…c2c6backed No68c10,029$6,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.2714659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c4,150$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.9968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.995453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No66c3,642$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.4118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes32c2,994$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.0144939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed No70c2,971$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes31c2,960$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes31c2,589$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5929643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a63…a179backed Yes31c2,067$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…e8b1backed Yes34c1,438$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No65c1,374$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c1,300$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No66c1,133$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.258750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No68c1,014$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…cae9backed Yes40c1,006$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc081…efeebacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…3601backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ea9…2d3fbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cb…d616backed No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes34c858.71$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.96130%0 W · 13 L-6.0wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No68c792.09$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9411657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No67c666.62$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.988155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x728f…11ecbacked Yes31c629.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Yes34c370.74$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.053122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes32c328.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.111937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff0…b3bdbacked Yes34c303.84$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.035644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003020%6 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf10f…3facbacked Yes34c288.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.98520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No67c260$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No67c259.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No67c259.93$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.57967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes14c249.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No68c236.67$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.746253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes33c229.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fd0backed Yes34c225.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes33c203.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.245046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8837…6b34backed Yes35c202.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No70c200.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.529756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c65…3b35backed Yes16c194.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No66c188$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.27968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked No67c185.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.371181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfde3…c59bbacked Yes14c181.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes6c173.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0137841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-79%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes34c154$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.363613.9%5 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c146$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes35c144.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.559334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed Yes35c141.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe795…baacbacked No66c135$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…b609backed Yes33c133$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.518232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc25f…b05fbacked Yes33c119$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes33c108.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.424429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9a…ff79backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1329…479bbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes11c97.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6819743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9944…86cdbacked No67c96.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes16c94.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf76…bd7bbacked Yes35c87.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282425%6 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661f…605bbacked No67c77.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771c…5284backed No67c73.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd7…d7a0backed No67c69.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes17c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5611915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5973…5eaabacked No68c64.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ec…0a71backed No67c63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No67c63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205752.6%30 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d4…7791backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed51…9147backed Yes34c61.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…d540backed No67c60.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dc9…7c59backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Yes36c53.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes32c51.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.519632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…3e81backed No67c48.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.