Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548a5cb5a632f4a5d1a69dcb2e72789b42709a3bc3507ce96fe60a5ed5dc30b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 6,099$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.38 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 72c | 5,959$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.55 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7f63backed Yes | 26c | 984.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 915.92$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…6d69backed No | 80c | 766.84$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 20c | 358.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 330$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 296.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 154.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 74c | 146.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 137.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 73c | 119.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 112.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…ab50backed Yes | 31c | 106.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 74c | 100.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd0…3e45backed No | 75c | 100.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…479bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…bb5abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 75c | 86.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 25c | 80.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 22c | 53.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 25c | 50.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Yes | 25c | 47.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed Yes | 27c | 45.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…1b5ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…988dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…ef0ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed No | 76c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…1186backed No | 77c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…4dc4backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed No | 80c | 14.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.