TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea27…8a0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+179%+$83.39
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.38
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$40.6
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.76
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$19.89
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$51.41
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.58
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+97%+$103.37
Over 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$780.78
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.8
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.78
Over 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$156
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$36.69
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.47
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.43
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.2
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.43
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$117.28
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+171%+$176.69
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+403.9%+$104.19
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.8
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$41.18
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+203%+$26.8
Nationals vs. Oriolesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$39
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Braves vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Guardians vs. Redsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Royals vs. Astrosbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.9
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$57
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$8.55
Cardinals vs. Nationalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Giants vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Blue Jays vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-72.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Southampton win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.36
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$352.76
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200.2
Will Liverpool vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$45.45
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+150%+$63
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+31.6%+$42.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+390.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+390.3%+$335.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+61.8%+$7.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$61.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.