MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa876e839141ad2bc648eb4fbb8d0927f0f1b6e54ce52a605b82de463b639eb73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Red Sox, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Red Sox | 51c | 6,987$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Tigers | 50c | 4,442$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.51 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers | 47c | 3,221$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.88 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 42c | 2,774$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 2,736$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 49c | 2,287$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.08 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Tigers | 61c | 2,284$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 51c | 2,251$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.19 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Red Sox | 62c | 2,208$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 51c | 2,189$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.61 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Tigers | 48c | 1,491$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Red Sox | 46c | 1,171$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 51c | 1,136$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Tigers | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.75 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Tigers | 63c | 1,066$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Tigers | 62c | 1,065$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.09 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Tigers | 33c | 992.03$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.66 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Tigers | 52c | 956.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.74 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 42c | 946.96$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.11 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 47c | 579.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Red Sox | 69c | 577$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +288%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 40c | 537.41$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 60c | 392$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 46c | 359.76$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 67c | 300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tigers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 274.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Red Sox | 50c | 262.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 51c | 208.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Red Sox | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox | 48c | 185$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Red Sox | 75c | 152.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Red Sox | 48c | 142.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 38c | 139.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 58c | 137.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 40c | 131.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Red Sox | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…447dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Red Sox | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Tigers | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Tigers | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…974cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…2a06backed Tigers | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Tigers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…bb94backed Red Sox | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…0575backed Tigers | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Red Sox | 71c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 73.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 65.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…2853backed Red Sox | 54c | 65.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 51c | 62.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Tigers | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Tigers | 50c | 58.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Red Sox | 80c | 57.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…9acfbacked Red Sox | 51c | 55.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…62b4backed Tigers | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…2904backed Red Sox | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…e647backed Tigers | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…0404backed Red Sox | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Red Sox | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…88cdbacked Red Sox | 52c | 50.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Red Sox | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Red Sox | 46c | 49.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Tigers | 53c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 50c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…3b80backed Tigers | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Red Sox | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…658bbacked Red Sox | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…0cd3backed Red Sox | 52c | 39.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…9ed9backed Red Sox | 51c | 38.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Tigers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Tigers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…7ae0backed Red Sox | 59c | 36.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…c07dbacked Tigers | 50c | 36.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…e0e0backed Red Sox | 52c | 32.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…4148backed Red Sox | 52c | 31.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Red Sox | 51c | 30.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.