NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36ea170953e02999b5b6e230f3799f67fcbb58da13257fce1317acace77624b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T-Wolvesof Thunder, T-Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,466,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,241,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,466,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Thunder | 5c | 245,303$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Thunder | 44c | 221,843$97,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,968.69 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed T-Wolves | 65c | 161,254$105,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,970.71 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed T-Wolves | 68c | 137,887$93,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,187.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…ed7bbacked Thunder | 0c | 117,180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Thunder | 39c | 103,740$40,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,393.72 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Thunder | 0c | 100,100$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 19c | 86,434$16,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,428.99 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed T-Wolves | 44c | 84,978$37,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,908.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Thunder | 4c | 80,129$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.64 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed T-Wolves | 42c | 77,776$32,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,110 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Thunder | 0c | 67,250$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Thunder | 0c | 53,237$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.99 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Thunder | 13c | 49,485$6,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.95 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed T-Wolves | 75c | 47,696$35,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,787.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 58c | 44,392$25,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,747.33 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 57c | 40,899$23,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,408.12 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed T-Wolves | 76c | 40,309$30,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,741 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked T-Wolves | 42c | 37,707$15,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,870.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 57c | 33,979$19,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,221.51 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Thunder | 6c | 33,157$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.82 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Thunder | 19c | 32,834$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.74 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Thunder | 4c | 32,581$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.56 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed T-Wolves | 79c | 32,000$25,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Thunder | 7c | 29,518$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…74ddbacked Thunder | 1c | 25,250$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 57c | 24,587$13,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,968.44 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed T-Wolves | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,809.52 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed T-Wolves | 42c | 23,732$10,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,648.79 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed T-Wolves | 43c | 21,187$9,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,076.36 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Thunder | 0c | 21,156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Thunder | 58c | 20,574$11,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,933 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed T-Wolves | 42c | 18,431$7,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,604.14 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…381cbacked Thunder | 58c | 18,032$10,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,478.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Thunder | 15c | 17,400$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Thunder | 2c | 17,125$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Thunder | 58c | 16,660$9,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.84 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Thunder | 5c | 16,631$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.74 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Thunder | 22c | 16,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Thunder | 1c | 14,995$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…626cbacked Thunder | 6c | 14,860$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Thunder | 31c | 14,536$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 58c | 14,534$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404.9 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Thunder | 4c | 14,329$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed T-Wolves | 78c | 14,261$11,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.72 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed T-Wolves | 49c | 13,264$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,751.35 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…7ddbbacked Thunder | 19c | 13,004$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Thunder | 9c | 12,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Thunder | 18c | 12,217$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.06 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Thunder | 1c | 11,500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Thunder | 20c | 11,300$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Thunder | 59c | 11,292$6,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.37 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Thunder | 59c | 11,249$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 51c | 11,128$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,692.34 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Thunder | 32c | 10,862$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked T-Wolves | 42c | 10,321$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 59c | 10,169$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Thunder | 10c | 10,101$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Thunder | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Thunder | 9c | 8,653$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.77 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Thunder | 58c | 8,110$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Thunder | 2c | 7,910$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Thunder | 58c | 7,790$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.01 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Thunder | 1c | 7,558$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed T-Wolves | 42c | 7,471$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.28 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed T-Wolves | 72c | 7,428$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.25 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Thunder | 1c | 7,290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Thunder | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked T-Wolves | 43c | 6,947$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.62 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Thunder | 14c | 6,830$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.69 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Thunder | 58c | 6,690$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Thunder | 34c | 6,553$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.38 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Thunder | 30c | 6,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed T-Wolves | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.99 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked T-Wolves | 42c | 5,961$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.1 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Thunder | 15c | 5,725$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked T-Wolves | 43c | 5,591$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.57 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8865…4f38backed Thunder | 9c | 5,356$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked T-Wolves | 78c | 5,334$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.63 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Thunder | 5c | 5,250$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked T-Wolves | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Thunder | 13c | 4,940$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Thunder | 20c | 4,833$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked T-Wolves | 42c | 4,747$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.34 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Thunder | 2c | 4,672$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 45c | 4,597$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.97 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…4738backed T-Wolves | 42c | 4,574$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Thunder | 0c | 4,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Thunder | 7c | 4,277$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f969backed Thunder | 0c | 4,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…5511backed Thunder | 59c | 4,113$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed T-Wolves | 42c | 4,050$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Thunder | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Thunder | 1c | 4,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed T-Wolves | 71c | 4,000$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.11 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Thunder | 23c | 3,930$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.2 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 11c | 3,827$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.27 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Thunder | 58c | 3,678$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.45 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…bb81backed Thunder | 59c | 3,563$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.