TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f0e…f969

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: WNBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4922.4%11 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$23.8
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.7
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+79.4%+$17.7
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+231.1%+$34.9
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+237.8%+$35.19
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+164.9%+$24.9
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.92
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.94
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+1,020.8%+$1,044.66
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick36cpaid+127.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$18.1
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Omaha vs. St. John'sbacked Nebraska Omaha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.