NBA · resolved market
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d951194baff9f5faed146ff77544bbef84e14314b64fc10cd8f768510eefd08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 5c | 13,024$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.44 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 26c | 8,911$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +347.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,744$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 7,001$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 16c | 6,137$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,892$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 5,821$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 8c | 4,088$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.05 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 15c | 3,868$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.98 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,514$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,368$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 12c | 3,038$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 9c | 2,677$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.24 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,495$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Yes | 9c | 2,353$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed Yes | 9c | 1,756$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 1c | 1,648$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…cd78backed Yes | 9c | 1,588$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 3c | 1,525$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Yes | 14c | 1,520$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,388$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 2c | 1,346$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,305$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…f425backed Yes | 8c | 1,291$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 6c | 1,290$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Yes | 18c | 1,081$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…61d1backed Yes | 9c | 1,008$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…6eb9backed Yes | 3c | 997.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Yes | 12c | 993.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…7980backed Yes | 4c | 984.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 8c | 890.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…4c15backed Yes | 7c | 842.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…ab47backed Yes | 14c | 842.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 8c | 647.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…1d09backed Yes | 5c | 638.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 11c | 570.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 558.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…5648backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 497$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 15c | 476.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…eda4backed Yes | 3c | 473$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 472.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 14c | 457.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Yes | 13c | 388.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 10c | 370.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…1098backed Yes | 8c | 360$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…a932backed Yes | 14c | 351.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…d350backed Yes | 9c | 342.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 39c | 333.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…619fbacked Yes | 9c | 331.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…cddcbacked Yes | 8c | 308.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…a483backed Yes | 8c | 300.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f969backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Yes | 10c | 295.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 21c | 281.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 267.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 7c | 257.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…8e37backed Yes | 9c | 251.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…3e50backed Yes | 9c | 249.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Yes | 9c | 230.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…fd19backed Yes | 10c | 213$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…0e94backed Yes | 10c | 207.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Yes | 10c | 206.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 10c | 206.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…15dbbacked Yes | 12c | 205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Yes | 11c | 187.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 10c | 184.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 14c | 178.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…de61backed Yes | 10c | 177$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d93…0c63backed Yes | 7c | 177$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…93b3backed Yes | 10c | 173$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…6f76backed Yes | 9c | 164.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…7befbacked Yes | 10c | 156$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 22c | 146.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Yes | 13c | 146.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…db18backed Yes | 10c | 144$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 12c | 135.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 9c | 133.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 20c | 130.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…9dd5backed Yes | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…3963backed Yes | 21c | 119.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…579ebacked Yes | 11c | 114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 73c | 110.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…1bbcbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…a554backed Yes | 11c | 106.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 20c | 100.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…f733backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…8436backed Yes | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 20c | 80.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…54fabacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…7318backed Yes | 16c | 78.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811b…6654backed Yes | 27c | 70.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?this page
- Will Aaron Gordon Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Chet Holmgren Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Darius Garland Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Derrick White Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Evan Mobley Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julius Randle Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Kristaps Porzingis Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will OG Anunoby Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.