TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0cb…8e37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.78
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.66
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+598.9%+$107.21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+374.9%+$47.23
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$13.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+99.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+214.2%+$42.85
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+961.7%+$131.75
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+169%+$23.66
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$255
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.5%+$16.58
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+174.5%+$25.64
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 316: O'Malley and Harrison Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.