TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$747,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$616,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes19c30,724$5,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,958.695028%14 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c68…3dd4backed Yes23c26,983$6,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,230.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes18c20,961$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes16c18,029$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.0152641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes26c16,700$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.946251.6%32 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes28c14,977$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.947145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked No80c14,441$11,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+200.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Yes22c13,338$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…6d3cbacked Yes22c12,700$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x947c…0032backed Yes22c12,324$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cec…7c61backed Yes5c11,582$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes25c11,235$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.954429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes25c10,988$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f63…be6fbacked Yes1c10,975$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes20c10,912$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.6617946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd3…6574backed Yes22c9,770$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c9,256$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.972244%9 W · 215 L-0.5wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849b…706abacked Yes35c9,250$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed16…916ebacked Yes26c7,812$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c7,684$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.1929249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6989…b412backed Yes23c6,394$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939b…9cd7backed Yes26c5,635$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c5,421$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.822330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick20cpaid-39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes25c5,069$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No75c5,067$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c5,000$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Yes18c4,893$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…b97bbacked No66c4,880$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…9ff1backed Yes6c4,683$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes10c4,669$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.23812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Yes4c4,372$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.171526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes19c4,180$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.811030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa618…4ce3backed Yes3c4,114$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Yes21c4,000$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9dd…99e9backed Yes1c3,972$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ab…dd5dbacked Yes1c3,960$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca8…6559backed Yes1c3,950$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes22c3,943$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.935339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…5b2cbacked No74c3,816$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No77c3,659$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c3,569$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.4910340.8%42 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53d0…5acabacked No78c3,520$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes16c3,509$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.191520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-61.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4b…b97abacked No78c3,450$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbf…4665backed Yes5c3,399$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.08825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+526.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1453…9972backed No78c3,334$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No75c3,292$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09c…56dbbacked No78c3,220$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615b…4967backed No78c3,200$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…9eabbacked No78c3,133$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…74f5backed No78c3,080$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…d95bbacked Yes5c3,077$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3a…e898backed No78c3,030$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…8355backed No78c3,026$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0324…ac85backed No78c2,970$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes4c2,931$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8314836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes23c2,840$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.66944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764e…8eafbacked No78c2,831$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Yes20c2,776$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Yes3c2,534$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.944822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae8…3ee1backed Yes15c2,374$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.441225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf961…62bbbacked Yes3c2,349$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No79c2,183$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.052339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes26c2,154$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.086541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c2…e766backed Yes18c2,152$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes13c1,991$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-68.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1f…e6d6backed Yes23c1,986$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes23c1,954$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.722516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c9…d697backed Yes16c1,945$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c58…7aebbacked Yes24c1,870$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…dd2fbacked Yes4c1,860$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-80.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x561b…7938backed Yes3c1,675$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c0…f219backed Yes26c1,638$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f81…3a83backed Yes10c1,536$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes24c1,500$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cef…fe2dbacked No75c1,465$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes34c1,450$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes21c1,445$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5512346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff54…9e29backed Yes1c1,440$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe396…c582backed Yes21c1,393$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bf…9205backed Yes20c1,359$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f71…2bbbbacked Yes3c1,309$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214c…6378backed No80c1,200$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes11c1,087$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.52910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes22c1,069$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.264250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes7c1,064$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes5c1,037$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.45650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked No77c1,010$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b47…099ebacked Yes4c1,004$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2655…d700backed Yes26c1,000$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes21c1,000$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308851.1%45 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6181…ad60backed No70c999.76$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes25c990.35$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.599750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5177…4d2bbacked No77c977$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes2c949.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.714131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb2…6129backed Yes21c944$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes22c906.61$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016048.3%29 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e7…4dc1backed Yes26c905.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Yes26c901.6$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.